Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 100973.788005 106387.207911 111793.038053 117592.769747 123635.256397 129741.448003 136374.712472
2025-07-20 93117.920781 101484.312574 110064.338205 119510.197075 129606.095100 140062.221018 151698.768489
2025-07-27 86964.379937 97361.203846 108250.300644 120482.790253 133818.328659 147892.282448 163845.143265
2025-08-03 81667.205372 93537.385292 106192.176506 120650.227756 136672.656096 153846.212252 173606.196989
2025-08-10 77494.690764 90550.325847 104686.442704 121075.192177 139495.641439 159502.878034 182818.299710
2025-08-17 73739.163189 87742.521621 103119.325101 121183.093101 141744.470275 164341.811990 190973.868570
2025-08-24 71234.157424 86164.316729 102767.416253 122503.236693 145221.918842 170451.970759 200483.227035
2025-08-31 68147.246488 83740.395910 101292.031204 122391.181006 146939.515997 174471.008104 207548.358020
2025-09-07 66354.304094 82713.240801 101329.884848 123937.124313 150492.733016 180538.198554 216936.201475
2025-09-14 64436.164577 81434.860726 100983.873008 124953.760902 153366.734439 185781.797593 225358.076927
2025-09-21 62200.136592 79675.583375 99980.245157 125111.703787 155164.628794 189726.535497 232241.779465
2025-09-28 60155.186818 78060.764300 99070.945736 125309.937528 156950.655468 193615.856342 239039.016681
2025-10-05 59109.714734 77643.178181 99591.588890 127232.728531 160824.284162 200024.835086 248907.687533
2025-10-12 57971.674230 77064.181568 99879.951962 128849.236129 164322.021590 206001.170412 258304.554162
2025-10-19 56566.392516 76095.380401 99642.965589 129783.932342 166967.238816 210949.586796 266485.953562
2025-10-26 54863.872451 74690.614610 98812.758723 129938.860509 168622.568318 214683.996982 273202.222218
2025-11-02 53400.641642 73538.156368 98250.525397 130384.960515 170604.554151 218797.546963 280379.637789
2025-11-09 51862.388844 72237.639251 97455.925669 130498.342082 172141.998407 222350.352333 286871.972437
2025-11-16 50999.115343 71779.718903 97700.938628 131900.199276 175273.867682 227861.057623 295785.997560
2025-11-23 49497.492824 70439.332538 96777.594361 131781.123863 176468.903219 230967.108402 301737.107978
2025-11-30 48844.448356 70194.706515 97243.269693 133422.877560 179881.538684 236831.210485 311131.348772
2025-12-07 47982.298213 69642.431810 97286.337670 134502.403310 182571.609857 241799.173088 319432.892196
2025-12-14 46775.045571 68591.062545 96646.735901 134670.107537 184077.526251 245275.710197 325876.717604